Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.707161 0.811958 0.926244 1.060040 1.212294 1.380072 1.578896
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.579787 0.727874 0.903387 1.126348 1.401659 1.730085 2.151241
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.486272 0.662741 0.888466 1.197371 1.608066 2.134204 2.858229
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.397818 0.585582 0.843479 1.221670 1.759981 2.496230 3.576820
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.337602 0.533774 0.821562 1.271316 1.952743 2.941912 4.481017
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.278378 0.470935 0.771511 1.270158 2.071010 3.299642 5.317438
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.238138 0.429069 0.744792 1.298307 2.236270 3.750015 6.361659
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.196939 0.376954 0.691491 1.272704 2.308980 4.063281 7.233573
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.175693 0.355502 0.685947 1.326584 2.522838 4.637520 8.622323
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.159835 0.340765 0.689394 1.396300 2.774331 5.310112 10.276889
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.140358 0.314880 0.666999 1.412702 2.928003 5.826128 11.717222
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.122253 0.288106 0.637905 1.410286 3.043447 6.284168 13.108416
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.106835 0.264436 0.611812 1.411254 3.169317 6.786676 14.672768
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.094298 0.244774 0.590878 1.419797 3.312711 7.345059 16.431726
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.085299 0.231705 0.582396 1.454726 3.519155 8.063313 18.627591
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.075011 0.213216 0.557913 1.448203 3.630919 8.593340 20.489742
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068310 0.202664 0.550748 1.482105 3.842286 9.372590 23.015002
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.059995 0.185881 0.524800 1.464474 3.926155 9.871320 24.962401
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.054461 0.175798 0.514528 1.485651 4.110270 10.630846 27.630439
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.047412 0.159628 0.484734 1.449227 4.140013 11.019926 29.448596
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.044470 0.155494 0.488027 1.505182 4.424373 12.081600 33.091439
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.042355 0.153564 0.497411 1.580301 4.773008 13.353488 37.439117
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.038682 0.145619 0.487318 1.596342 4.958102 14.221184 40.837933